Category Archives: Sea Level Rise

Three Scenarios for the Future of Climate Change

Three Scenarios for the Future of Climate Change

Had the words of either man been heeded in the intervening three decades, the world today would be a very different place—incalculably better off in innumerable ways. Instead, during that interval, some two hundred billion metric tons of carbon have been spewed into the atmosphere. (This is roughly as much CO2 as had been emitted from the start of the Industrial Revolution to that point.) Meanwhile, trillions of dollars have been sunk into coal-burning power plants, oil pipelines, gas pipelines, liquid-natural-gas export terminals, and a host of other fossil-fuel projects that, in a saner world, would never have been constructed. And global temperatures, as everyone can by now attest—though some still refuse to acknowledge—have continued to rise, to the point where the sweltering summer of 1988 no longer stands out as particularly hot. The nineteen-nineties were, on average, warmer than the eighties, the aughts hotter than the nineties, and the past decade hotter still. Each of the past five years has ranked among the warmest on record.

And the future does not look good:

What’s technically referred to as “dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system” and colloquially known as “catastrophe” is warming so dramatic that it’s apt to obliterate whole nations (such as the Marshall Islands and the Maldives) and destroy entire ecosystems (such as coral reefs). A host of scientific studies suggest that a temperature increase of two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) or more would qualify. A great many studies suggest that warming of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) would be enough to do the trick. At current emissions rates, the 1.5-degree threshold will be crossed in about a decade. As Drew Shindell, an atmospheric scientist at Duke University, told Science, “No longer can we say the window for action will close soon—we’re here now.”

It is crazy that humanity is allowing this to happen. The effects will be so cataclysmic, will destroy so much infrastructure and property, ruin the lives of so many people… how can we as a species stand by and allow it to happen without stopping ourselves?

The Doomsday Book is one attempt to help us come to our senses. There are 6 chapters in the book on the climate change catastrophe that is coming.

The Doomsday Book” by Marshall Brain lays out this scenario in amazing detail and offers solutions to prevent this doomsday scenario from unfolding. You can pre-order the book today on the pre-order page.

Miami Will Be Underwater Soon. Its Drinking Water Could Go First

Miami Will Be Underwater Soon. Its Drinking Water Could Go First

Miami-Dade is built on the Biscayne Aquifer, 4,000 square miles of unusually shallow and porous limestone whose tiny air pockets are filled with rainwater and rivers running from the swamp to the ocean. The aquifer and the infrastructure that draws from it, cleans its water, and keeps it from overrunning the city combine to form a giant but fragile machine. Without this abundant source of fresh water, made cheap by its proximity to the surface, this hot, remote city could become uninhabitable.

As sea levels rise, this aquifer will become polluted with salt water and it becomes undrinkable. As that happens Miami will likely resort to desalination. But eventually sea levels drown Miami. Even today a high tide can make its way into the city:

King tide flooding causing issues for businesses along Hollywood Beach

The Doomsday Book” by Marshall Brain lays out this scenario in amazing detail and offers solutions to prevent this doomsday scenario from unfolding. You can pre-order the book today on the pre-order page.

Noam Chomsky: The world is at the most dangerous moment in human history

Noam Chomsky: The world is at the most dangerous moment in human history

The US professor warns that the climate crisis, the threat of nuclear war and rising authoritarianism mean the risk of human extinction has never been greater. 

It is a chilling warning. And it is understated. If we break out some of the more serious side effects of Climate Change individually (e.g. a mass extinction event, rainforest collapse, sea level rise, climate migration, etc.) we can see that climate change alone will have epic effects. Then add in all of the economic stress and dysfunction caused by the pandemic. Don’t forget the unexpected things like the locust plague.

The Doomsday Book” by Marshall Brain lays out this scenario in amazing detail and offers solutions to prevent this doomsday scenario from unfolding. You can pre-order the book today on the pre-order page.

The so-called ‘doomsday glacier’ could trigger 10 feet of sea-level rise if it melts.

Antarctica’s Thwaites glacier is in peril, images reveal. The so-called ‘doomsday glacier’ could trigger 10 feet of sea-level rise if it melts.

Thwaites’ nickname stems mostly from what would happen after it melts. Right now, the glacier acts as a buffer between the warming sea and other glaciers. Its collapse could bring neighboring ice masses in western Antarctica down with it. Added up, that process would raise sea levels by nearly 10 feet, permanently submerging many coastal areas including parts of New York City, Miami, and the Netherlands.

Imagine losing a city like New York or Miami. Then multiply by 100 because of all the other cities that will be lost. Think about the millions of people displaced, the trillions of dollars in buildings and infrastructure lost to rising seas. It seems like the reaction should be powerful and intense – a global intense focus on avoiding this outcome. But there is little action of this sort. We are still extracting and burning fossil fuels at a gigantic rate, raising CO2 levels in the atmosphere every day. It really is remarkable given what is at stake.

The Doomsday Book” by Marshall Brain lays out this scenario in amazing detail and offers solutions to prevent this doomsday scenario from unfolding. You can pre-order the book today on the pre-order page.

CO₂ removal to halt warming soon would be a gargantuan undertaking

CO₂ removal to halt warming soon would be a gargantuan undertaking

Three studies published this week examine some of the issues of negative emissions in detail. The first focuses primarily on BECCS—bioenergy with carbon capture and storage. This is a technically attractive strategy that would involve growing biofuel crops, burning them to generate electricity, capturing the CO2 leaving the power plant’s exhaust, and storing that CO2 somewhere (probably deep underground). The added value from electricity generation makes this look cheaper than many methods that could pull similar amounts of CO2 out of the air. As a result, many emissions scenarios that manage to halt warming at 1.5°C or 2°C rely on sizable deployments of BECCS to get there.

Even if it is difficult and expensive, humanity has no choice. It must happen to avoid the global effects of global warming and ocean acidification.

The Doomsday Book” by Marshall Brain lays out this scenario in amazing detail and offers solutions to prevent this doomsday scenario from unfolding. You can pre-order the book today on the pre-order page.